H2H, PREDICTION Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jordan Thompson | Mallorca odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Mallorca. Carreno-Busta and Thompson will face off in the quarter of the Mallorca Championships. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Jordan Thompson

Pablo Carreno-Busta and Jordan Thompson will clash against each other in the quarter of the Mallorca Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.59
Jordan Thompson -> 2.49

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Jordan Thompson

This will be the 2nd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Jordan Thompson fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Carreno-Busta won 6-4 6-0 in the 2nd round in Barcelona back in April 2021.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 13, Pablo got to the quarter after beating Jiri Vesely 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Carreno-Busta had a good straight sets win against Vesely (6-4 6-4). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 71 points vs Vesely’s 59. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pablo broke Vesely twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Carreno-Busta has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (358-204). 1-0 on grass in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carreno-Busta has an aggregate 3-8 match record in the last years on grass.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Marbella where he overcame Jaume Antoni Munar Clar in the final 6-1 2-6 6-4.

Carreno-Busta has a composed 18-7 win-loss record in 2021, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Mallorca

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

Carreno-Busta
Mallorca
Carreno-Busta's Record

Jordan Thompson

Ranked no. 76, the Australian reached the quarter after defeating Pablo Andujar 2-6 7-64 6-2 and Lukas Klein 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Klein (6-4 6-4). During the match Thompson scored 59 points vs Klein’s 50. Thompson was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Thompson struck 8 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jordan Thompson was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Klein twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Thompson has a composed 10-12 win-loss record in 2021, 4-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Thompson
Mallorca
Thompson's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Carreno-Busta
J.Thompson
1h:37
1h:37
Time on court​
!
3h:38
3h:38
1h:37
1h:37
Last match​
1h:13
1h:13
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
20
20
Games Played​
49
49
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
71
71
Total points​
152
152
71
71
Avg point​
76
76
29
29
Winners
71
71
29
29
Avg Winners​
35.5
35.5
41%
41%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
22
22
0
0
Avg Aces
!
11
11
4
4
Double Faults
2
2
4
4
Avg Double Faults
1
1
29/34
29/34
1st won total​
71/91
71/91
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
13/21
13/21
2nd won total​
29/54
29/54
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
2/10
2/10
BP won
5/12
5/12
2/10
2/10
Avg BP won
2.5/6
2.5/6
!
20%
20%
Won
42%
42%
1
1
Conceded
8
8
1
1
Avg Conceded
4
4
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
1
1
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carreno-Busta Thompson
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 20 49
Pts 71-59 152-139
Total Points 130 291
Winners 29 71
%Winners 41% 47%

Carreno-Busta played 1 match while Thompson competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Jordan Thompson conceded 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Carreno-Busta has played 3 set(s) less than Thompson (2 vs 5). Therefore, Carreno-Busta played 29 games less than Thompson. Carreno-Busta scored 29 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jordan managed to score 71 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carreno-Busta Thompson
Aces 0 22
Avg per match 0 11
1st in 34/55 91/145
%1st in 62% 63%
1st pts 29/34 71/91
%1st pts 85% 78%
2nd pts 13/21 29/54
%2nd pts 62% 54%

Carreno-Busta didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Thompson recorded 22 aces (11 per match). Carreno-Busta won 85% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Thompson won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carreno-Busta Thompson
Won 2 5
Converted 2/10 5/12
% Converted 20% 42%
Conceded 1 8
Saved 1 5
% Saved 100% 63%
Times Broken 0 3

Carreno-Busta broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. The Spaniard pretty solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Australian broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Carreno-Busta
R2
Vesely
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 71-59 71-59
Total points 130 130
Winners 29 29
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 34/55 34/55
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 29/34 29/34
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 13/21 13/21
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/10 2/10
Converted % 20% 20%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Thompson
R1
Andujar
R2
Klein
Total
Score 2-6 7-64 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 29 20 49
pts 93-89 59-50 152-139
Total points 182 109 291
Winners 42 29 71
%Winners 45% 49% 47%
SERVE
Aces 14 8 22
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 57/93 34/52 91/145
% 1st in 61% 65% 63%
1st pts 42/57 29/34 71/91
% 1st pts 74% 85% 78%
2nd pts 18/36 11/18 29/54
% 2nd pts 50% 61% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/6 2/6 5/12
Converted % 50% 33% 42%
Conceded 8 0 8
Saved 5/8 0/0 5
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 3 0 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Carreno-Busta
LWLLWWWWLW
Thompson
LWWLWLWLLL
2025 2024 2023
39 - 25
16 - 17
25-10
Hard
7-9
1-2
I Hard
3-2
13-13
Clay
2-3
0-0
Grass
4-3
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