H2H, PREDICTION Taro Daniel vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia | Oeiras 3 Challenger odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Oeiras 3 Challenger. Daniel and Alcaraz will square off in the semifinal of the Oeiras 3 Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Taro Daniel vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

Taro Daniel and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will square off in the semifinal of the Oeiras 3 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:25 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz Garfia who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia -> 1.5
Taro Daniel -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Taro Daniel vs. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

There is no head to head record between Taro Daniel and Carlos Alcaraz Garfia since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Taro Daniel

Ranked no. 112, Daniel reached the semifinal after beating Blaz Rola 6-1 7-5, Leonardo Mayer 6-3 6-4 and Hugo Dellien 6-1 3-6 6-1.

In the quarter, Daniel defeated Dellien (6-1 3-6 6-1). During the match, Daniel scored 84 points vs Dellien’s 70. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Daniel wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and he committed only 1 double fault. Taro Daniel lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Daniel put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the 2nd serve. Taro broke Dellien 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Daniel has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (393-270). 13-7 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Daniel has an aggregate 232-141 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

The Japanese’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Sultan 2 Challenger and Belgrade.

The Japanese has an aggregate 19-12 win-loss record in 2021, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Oeiras 3 Challenger

Taro has never competed in this tournament before.

Daniel
Oeiras 3 Challenger
Daniel's Record

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

Ranked no. 114 (career-high), Carlos reached the semifinal after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-0 6-3, Brandon Nakashima 3-6 6-4 6-4 and Gastao Elias 7-5 6-4.

In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Elias (7-5 6-4). During the match Alcaraz scored 66 points vs Elias’s 52. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz Garfia was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Carlos broke Elias 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Carlos’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Marbella.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 16-10 win-loss record in 2021, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Alcaraz
Oeiras 3 Challenger
Alcaraz's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Daniel
C.Alcaraz
5h:16
5h:16
Time on court​
4h:42
4h:42
1h:54
1h:54
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
3
3
Match played
3
3
61
61
Games Played​
66
66
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
230
230
Total points​
216
216
76.7
76.7
Avg point​
72
72
90
90
Winners
83
83
30
30
Avg Winners​
27.7
27.7
39%
39%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
5
5
2
2
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
9
9
Double Faults
9
9
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
90/128
90/128
1st won total​
83/122
83/122
70%
70%
1st won %
68%
68%
51/97
51/97
2nd won total​
38/69
38/69
53%
53%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
13/27
13/27
BP won
16/25
16/25
4.3/9
4.3/9
Avg BP won
5.3/8.3
5.3/8.3
48%
48%
Won
!
64%
64%
24
24
Conceded
13
13
8
8
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
5
5
Broken
8
8
1.7
1.7
Avg Broken
2.7
2.7
19
19
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Daniel Alcaraz
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 61 66
Pts 230-186 216-173
Total Points 416 389
Winners 90 83
%Winners 39% 38%

Both Daniel and Alcaraz played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Taro Daniel conceded 1 set, while Carlos Alcaraz Garfia dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Daniel and Alcaraz have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Daniel played 5 games less than Alcaraz. Taro scored 90 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Alcaraz scored 83 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Daniel Alcaraz
Aces 6 5
Avg per match 2 1.7
1st in 128/225 122/191
%1st in 57% 64%
1st pts 90/128 83/122
%1st pts 70% 68%
2nd pts 51/97 38/69
%2nd pts 53% 55%

Daniel managed to score 6 aces (2 per match). Alcaraz scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Daniel won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Daniel Alcaraz
Won 13 16
Converted 13/27 16/25
% Converted 48% 64%
Conceded 24 13
Saved 19 5
% Saved 79% 38%
Times Broken 5 8

The Japanese broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Taro dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Carlos broke his opponents 16 times with a 64% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.

Daniel
R1
Rola
R2
Mayer
1/4
Dellien
Total
Score 6-1 7-5 6-3 6-4 6-1 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 19 19 23 61
pts 69-55 77-61 84-70 230-186
Total points 124 138 154 416
Winners 26 34 30 90
%Winners 38% 44% 36% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 0 6
Double Faults 5 3 1 9
1st in 36/70 48/79 44/76 128/225
% 1st in 51% 61% 58% 57%
1st pts 26/36 34/48 30/44 90/128
% 1st pts 72% 71% 68% 70%
2nd pts 17/34 16/31 18/32 51/97
% 2nd pts 50% 52% 56% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 3 5 13
Converted 5/8 3/6 5/13 13/27
Converted % 63% 50% 38% 48%
Conceded 11 8 5 24
Saved 9/11 7/8 3/5 19
Saved % 82% 88% 60% 77%
Times Broken 2 1 2 5
Alcaraz
R1
Uchiyama
R2
Nakashima
1/4
Elias
Total
Score 6-0 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 15 29 22 66
pts 60-34 90-87 66-52 216-173
Total points 94 177 118 389
Winners 21 36 26 83
%Winners 35% 40% 39% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 1 5
Double Faults 3 3 3 9
1st in 27/50 59/83 36/58 122/191
% 1st in 54% 71% 62% 64%
1st pts 21/27 36/59 26/36 83/122
% 1st pts 78% 61% 72% 68%
2nd pts 12/23 12/24 14/22 38/69
% 2nd pts 52% 50% 64% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 6 4 16
Converted 6/7 6/11 4/7 16/25
Converted % 86% 55% 57% 64%
Conceded 4 7 2 13
Saved 3/4 2/7 0/2 5
Saved % 75% 29% 0% 35%
Times Broken 1 5 2 8

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Daniel
LLWLLLLWWW
Alcaraz Garfia
2025 2024 2023
12 - 31
0 - 0
10-19
Hard
0-0
1-8
Clay
0-0
1-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Oeiras 3 Challenger

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Upcoming matches in the draw