Elina Svitolina and Garbine Muguruza will face off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 12th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Center Court. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Garbine Muguruza who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Garbine Muguruza is the pick to win this match.
Garbine Muguruza -> 1.62
Elina Svitolina -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Elina Svitolina vs. Garbine Muguruza
This will be the 12th time that Elina Svitolina and Garbine Muguruza square off. The head to head is 6-5 for Svitolina (see full H2H stats), but Muguruza leads 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Muguruza won 6-1 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in 2020.
Highlights Garbine Muguruza vs Elina Svitolina – Australian Open 25-January-2020
Elina Svitolina
Ranked no. 6, the Ukrainian got to the 3rd round after defeating Amanda Anisimova 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Anisimova, The Ukrainian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4).-75) than Anisimova. In fact, the world no. 6 won 75 points vs Anisimova’s. That means that Svitolina was more focused during the important points. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Svitolina managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elina Svitolina lost the serve 6 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Svitolina put 58% of her first serves in, winning 56% (23/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (13/30) on the 2nd serve. Elina broke Anisimova 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Svitolina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (365-185). 5-2 on clay in 2021. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Svitolina has a 91-44 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Miami and Stuttgart.
Svitolina has a 18-8 win-loss record in 2021, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, she won this tournament twice in 2017 and 2018. See her history.
Garbine Muguruza
Ranked no. 12, Garbine got to the 3rd round after beating Patricia Maria Tig 6-1 6-2 and Bernarda Pera 2-6 6-0 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Pera, Muguruza recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-0 7-5). During the match Muguruza scored 83 points vs Pera’s 77. Garbine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Muguruza made 4 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Garbine Muguruza lost the serve 6 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Muguruza put 61% of her first serves in, winning 59% (30/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Muguruza broke Pera 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Garbine started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Dubai where she beat Barbora Krejcikova in the final 7-6(6) 6-3.
The Spaniard has a 23-6 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016, 2017 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Svitolina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 41 |
| Pts | 75-79 | 138-106 |
| Total Points | 154 | 244 |
| Winners | 23 | 51 |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% |
Svitolina played 1 match while Muguruza competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elina Svitolina surrendered 1 set, while Garbine Muguruza dropped 1 set. Svitolina has played 2 set(s) less than Muguruza (3 vs 5). Therefore, Svitolina played 14 games less than Muguruza. Elina scored 23 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 51 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Svitolina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 80/126 |
| %1st in | 58% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 23/41 | 51/80 |
| %1st pts | 56% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 22/46 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 48% |
Svitolina struck 2 aces . Muguruza struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Svitolina won 56% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Muguruza won 64% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Svitolina | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 14 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 14/21 |
| % Converted | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded | 7 | 16 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 14% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
The Ukrainian broke her opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 14% of the break points that she conceded. Garbine broke her opponents 14 times with a 67% conversion rate. Garbine conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Svitolina | |||
| R2 Anisimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 75-79 | 75-79 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 41/71 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/41 | 23/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 13/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/7 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 14% | 14% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Muguruza | ||||
| R1 Maria Tig |
R2 Pera |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 2-6 6-0 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 26 | 41 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 83-77 | 138-106 | |
| Total points | 84 | 160 | 244 | |
| Winners | 21 | 30 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 29/43 | 51/83 | 80/126 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 30/51 | 51/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 59% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 14/32 | 22/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 44% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 8/13 | 14/21 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 62% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 7/13 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 54% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWLW
Tennis Scores in Rome
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-1 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva – Petra KvitovaKvitova (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Naomi OsakaOsaka (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Bernarda PeraPera (2-6 6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Serena WilliamsWilliams (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Yaroslava ShvedovaShvedova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Kristina Mladenovic/Marketa VondrousovaMladenovic/Marketa Vondrousova – Lucie Hradecka/Laura SiegemundHradecka/Laura Siegemund (1-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Madison KeysKeys (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Simona HalepHalep (1-6 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Sofia KeninKenin (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Kristina MladenovicMladenovic (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jennifer BradyBrady (w/o) – See score progression
- Angelique KerberKerber – Simona HalepHalep (1-6 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (5-6) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Angelique KerberKerber (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
