Ashleigh Barty and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the semifinal of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.24
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 4.45
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 2nd time that Ashleigh Barty and Paula Badosa Gibert play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Badosa won 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in Charleston back in April 2021.
Ashleigh Barty
Currently world no. 1 the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Shelby Rogers 6-2 6-1, Tamara Zidansek 6-4 1-6 6-3, Iga Swiatek 7-5 6-4 and Petra Kvitova 6-1 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, Barty defeated Kvitova (6-1 3-6 6-3). During the match Barty scored 85 points vs Kvitova’s 75. Ashleigh was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barty recorded 6 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Ashleigh Barty lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Barty put 62% of her first serves in, winning 63% (33/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the 2nd serve. Ashleigh broke Kvitova 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Barty has a good record in the last 10 years having won 75% of her matches (267-91). 10-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Barty has a 55-23 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Melbourne where she beat Garbine Muguruza in the final 7-6(3) 6-4 and in in Miami where she defeated Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-3 4-0 ret. and in in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 3-6 6-0 6-3.
The Australian has a 24-3 win-loss record in 2021, 10-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history.
Paula Badosa Gibert
Ranked no. 62 (career high), Paula got to the semifinal after defeating Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 7-5, Jil Teichmann 5-7 6-1 6-2, Anastasija Sevastova 6-70 7-63 6-0 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Paula had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 76 points vs Bencic’s 64. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa made 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Badosa put 54% of her first serves in, winning 81% (25/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Bencic 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Lyon and Charleston.
The Spaniard has a 14-6 win-loss record in 2021, 8-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barty | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 100 |
| Pts | 305-255 | 355-295 |
| Total Points | 560 | 650 |
| Winners | 125 | 143 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Barty and Badosa played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ashleigh Barty dropped 2 sets, while Paula Badosa Gibert lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Barty and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Barty played 12 games less than Badosa. Barty scored 125 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa recorded 143 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barty | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 169/292 | 211/310 |
| %1st in | 58% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 125/169 | 143/211 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 69/123 | 43/99 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 43% |
Barty fired 29 aces (7.3 per match). Badosa recorded 14 aces (3.5 per match). Barty won 74% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barty | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 24 |
| Converted | 13/33 | 24/46 |
| % Converted | 39% | 52% |
| Conceded | 25 | 25 |
| Saved | 20 | 13 |
| % Saved | 80% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 12 |
Ashleigh broke her opponents 13 times with a 39% conversion rate. Ashleigh conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The Spaniard broke her opponents 24 times with a 52% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 52% of the break points that she conceded.
| Barty | ||||||
| R1 Rogers |
R2 Zidansek |
R3 Swiatek |
1/4 Kvitova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 88 | |
| pts | 57-29 | 90-88 | 73-63 | 85-75 | 305-255 | |
| Total points | 86 | 178 | 136 | 160 | 560 | |
| Winners | 27 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 36% | 45% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 29/38 | 47/93 | 41/77 | 52/84 | 169/292 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 51% | 53% | 62% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/29 | 32/47 | 33/41 | 33/52 | 125/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 68% | 80% | 63% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/9 | 27/46 | 17/36 | 20/32 | 69/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 59% | 47% | 63% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/8 | 3/3 | 4/12 | 13/33 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 25% | 100% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 25 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/11 | 6/7 | 5/7 | 20 | |
| Saved % | – | 82% | 86% | 71% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R1 Krejcikova |
R2 Belen Teichmann |
R3 Sevastova |
1/4 Bencic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 5-7 6-1 6-2 | 6-70 7-63 6-0 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 27 | 32 | 22 | 100 | |
| pts | 67-44 | 93-79 | 119-108 | 76-64 | 355-295 | |
| Total points | 111 | 172 | 227 | 140 | 650 | |
| Winners | 31 | 33 | 54 | 25 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 35% | 45% | 33% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 55/87 | 88/112 | 31/57 | 211/310 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 63% | 79% | 54% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 33/55 | 54/88 | 25/31 | 143/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 60% | 61% | 81% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 15/32 | 8/24 | 12/26 | 43/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | 33% | 46% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 24 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 8/13 | 8/14 | 4/10 | 24/46 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 62% | 57% | 40% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 25 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/8 | 6/11 | 0/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 55% | 0% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Belinda BencicBencic (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (7-64 7-62) – See score progression
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Petra KvitovaKvitova (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-1 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Barbora Krejcikova/Katerina SiniakovaKrejcikova/Katerina Siniakova – Yifan Xu/Shuai ZhangXu/Shuai Zhang (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elise MertensMertens (6-1 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (7-6(4) 7-6(2)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
