Maria Sakkari and Karolina Muchova will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.72
Karolina Muchova -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 2nd time that Maria Sakkari and Karolina Muchova face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Sakkari won 6-4 6-1 in the quarter in the Sharm El Sheikh back in 2016.
Maria Sakkari
Ranked no. 19 (career high), Maria got to the 3rd round after defeating Amanda Anisimova 0-6 6-1 6-4 and Anett Kontaveit 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Kontaveit (6-3 6-1). During the match Sakkari scored 58 points vs Kontaveit’s 31. Maria was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sakkari scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Maria Sakkari was extremely efficient on serve to win 88% (22/25) of her 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Greek broke Kontaveit 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 60% of her matches (329-218). 3-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sakkari has a 144-82 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Greek’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi, Melbourne and Miami.
Maria has a 15-7 win-loss record in 2021, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2019. See her history.
Karolina Muchova
Ranked no. 20 (career high), Karolina reached the 3rd round after defeating Qiang Wang 6-1 6-3 and Naomi Osaka 6-4 3-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Muchova defeated Osaka (6-4 3-6 6-1). During the match Muchova scored 84 points vs Osaka’s 73. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Muchova fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Karolina Muchova was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (37/49) of her 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Karolina broke Osaka 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Muchova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Muchova’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The Czech has a 10-2 win-loss record in 2021, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 42 |
| Pts | 144-117 | 144-113 |
| Total Points | 261 | 257 |
| Winners | 44 | 60 |
| %Winners | 31% | 42% |
Both Sakkari and Muchova played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Maria Sakkari surrendered 1 set, while Karolina Muchova dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Muchova have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sakkari played 3 games less than Muchova. Maria scored 44 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech bagged 60 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 70/118 | 78/122 |
| %1st in | 59% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 44/70 | 60/78 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 27/48 | 21/44 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 48% |
Sakkari struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Muchova struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sakkari won 63% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/24 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 46% | 60% |
| Conceded | 14 | 5 |
| Saved | 8 | 2 |
| % Saved | 57% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Sakkari broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Maria conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | ||||
| R1 Anisimova |
R2 Kontaveit |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 0-6 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 39 | |
| pts | 86-86 | 58-31 | 144-117 | |
| Total points | 172 | 89 | 261 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 38% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 45/79 | 25/39 | 70/118 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 64% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 22/45 | 22/25 | 44/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 49% | 88% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/34 | 11/14 | 27/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 79% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/17 | 4/7 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 57% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/12 | 2/2 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Muchova | ||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Osaka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 42 | |
| pts | 60-40 | 84-73 | 144-113 | |
| Total points | 100 | 157 | 257 | |
| Winners | 23 | 37 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/48 | 49/74 | 78/122 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 37/49 | 60/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 13/25 | 21/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 52% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/8 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLL
LWWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
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- Maria SakkariSakkari – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
