Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.32
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in February 2021.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina – Australian Open 10-February-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranked no. 7 (career high), Sabalenka reached the 2nd round after beating Vera Zvonareva 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Zvonareva (6-1 6-2). During the match Sabalenka scored 63 points vs Zvonareva’s 37. The Belarussian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 54% of her first serves in, winning 60% (18/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Zvonareva 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 66% of her matches (204-106). 5-1 on clay in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a 31-25 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in in Abu Dhabi where she defeated Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-2 6-2.
Aryna has a 19-6 win-loss record in 2021, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018 and 2019. See her history.
Daria Kasatkina
Ranked no. 37, Darya reached the 2nd round after beating Irina-Camelia Begu 4-6 6-4 7-61.
In the 1st round against Begu, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-61). During the match Kasatkina scored 121 points vs Begu’s 115. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 7 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 59% of her first serves in, winning 59% (42/71) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (21/49) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Begu 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Melbourne where she overcame Marie Bouzkova in the final 4-6 6-2 6-2 and in in St. Petersburg where she overcame Margarita Gasparyan in the final 6-3 2-1 ret..
The Russian has a 17-5 win-loss record in 2021, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 33 |
| Pts | 63-37 | 121-115 |
| Total Points | 100 | 236 |
| Winners | 18 | 42 |
| %Winners | 29% | 35% |
Both Sabalenka and Kasatkina played 1 match. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Kasatkina (2 vs 3). Therefore, Sabalenka played 18 games less than Kasatkina. Sabalenka scored 18 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Darya recorded 42 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 71/120 |
| %1st in | 54% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 18/30 | 42/71 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 21/49 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 43% |
Sabalenka fired 3 aces . Kasatkina made 1 ace . Sabalenka won 60% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 59% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 7/16 |
| % Converted | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded | 2 | 15 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 50% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Kasatkina conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R1 Zvonareva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 63-37 | 63-37 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 30/56 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 18/30 | 18/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 18/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kasatkina | |||
| R1 Begu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 121-115 | 121-115 | |
| Total points | 236 | 236 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 71/120 | 71/120 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 42/71 | 42/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/49 | 21/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 | |
| Saved | 8/15 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 53% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWWW
LWLWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
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- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Johanna KontaKonta (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Kiki BertensBertens (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Belinda BencicBencic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Saisai ZhengZheng – Simona HalepHalep (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jennifer BradyBrady (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (4-4) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
