Naomi Osaka and Maria Sakkari will fight against each other in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 5th time of their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on Grandstand. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.31
Maria Sakkari -> 3.74
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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 5th time that Naomi Osaka and Maria Sakkari square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Osaka won 6-2 6-7(4) 6-3 in the 1st round in Brisbane back in 2020.
Highlights Naomi Osaka vs Maria Sakkari – Brisbane 07-January-2020
Naomi Osaka
Ranked no. 2, Naomi reached the quarter after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 7-63 6-4, Nina Stojanovic w/o and Elise Mertens 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-3 6-3). During the match Osaka scored 70 points vs Mertens’s 54. Naomi was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Osaka blasted 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 68% of her first serves in, winning 66% (25/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Mertens 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Osaka has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of her matches (218-112). 12-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Osaka has a 152-68 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in at the Australian Open where she defeated Jennifer Brady in the final 6-4 6-3.
Naomi has a 12-0 win-loss record in 2021, 12-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016 and 2019. See her history.
Maria Sakkari
Ranked no. 25, the Greek got to the quarter after defeating Arantxa Rus 6-2 6-3, Liudmila Samsonova 6-0 6-1 and Jessica Pegula 6-4 2-6 7-66.
In the 4th round, The Greek defeated Pegula (6-4 2-6 7-66).-112) than Pegula. In fact, the world no. 2 won 112 points vs Pegula’s. That means that Sakkari was more focused during the important points. Maria was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Sakkari struck 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 6 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 57% of her first serves in, winning 66% (49/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (20/55) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Pegula 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Greek’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Abu Dhabi and Melbourne.
Maria has a 11-5 win-loss record in 2021, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Osaka | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 61 |
| Pts | 151-123 | 235-192 |
| Total Points | 274 | 427 |
| Winners | 55 | 90 |
| %Winners | 36% | 38% |
Osaka played 2 matches while Sakkari competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Maria Sakkari lost 1 set while Naomi Osaka hasn’t dropped a set so far. Osaka has played 3 set(s) less than Sakkari (4 vs 7). Therefore, Osaka played 20 games less than Sakkari. Naomi scored 55 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sakkari fired 90 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Osaka | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 75/131 | 122/214 |
| %1st in | 57% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 55/75 | 90/122 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 40/92 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 43% |
Osaka managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Sakkari fired 9 aces (3 per match). Osaka won 73% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Osaka | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/21 | 15/39 |
| % Converted | 38% | 38% |
| Conceded | 13 | 24 |
| Saved | 9 | 18 |
| % Saved | 69% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Japanese broke her opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. The Greek broke her opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. Maria conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Osaka | |||||
| R2 Tomljanovic |
R3 Stojanovic |
R4 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-4 | w/o | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | – | 18 | 41 | |
| pts | 81-69 | – | 70-54 | 151-123 | |
| Total points | 150 | – | 124 | 274 | |
| Winners | 30 | – | 25 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 37% | – | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | – | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | – | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/75 | – | 38/56 | 75/131 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | – | 68% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | – | 25/38 | 55/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | – | 66% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | – | 9/18 | 28/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | – | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | – | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | – | 5/14 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 43% | – | 36% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 9 | – | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | – | 2/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 78% | – | 50% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Sakkari | |||||
| R2 Rus |
R3 Samsonova |
R4 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 2-6 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 13 | 31 | 61 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 60-31 | 112-116 | 235-192 | |
| Total points | 108 | 91 | 228 | 427 | |
| Winners | 22 | 19 | 49 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 23/41 | 74/129 | 122/214 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 19/23 | 49/74 | 90/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 83% | 66% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 10/18 | 20/55 | 40/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 56% | 36% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 6/14 | 5/13 | 15/39 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 19 | 24 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/5 | 13/19 | 18 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 68% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWLW
LLWWLWWLLL Tennis Scores in Miami
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 6-75 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Francisco BahamondeBahamonde (4-6 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico CoriaCoria – Andrea BassoBasso (3-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anastasija SevastovaSevastova – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-3) – H2H and prediction
