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H2H, PREDICTION Ashleigh Barty vs Karolina Muchova | Australian Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Barty and Muchova will clash against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

16 February 2021

Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Karolina Muchova

Ashleigh Barty and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the quarter of the Australian Open for the 2^nd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11 am on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ashleigh Barty who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Ashleigh Barty is the pick to win this match.
Ashleigh Barty -> 1.27
Karolina Muchova -> 4.1

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Prediction and head to head Ashleigh Barty vs. Karolina Muchova

This will be the 2^nd time that Ashleigh Barty and Karolina Muchova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Barty (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Barty won 6-3 6-4 in the 3^rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2018.

Ashleigh Barty

Currently world no. 1 Barty reached the 3^rd round after beating Danka Kovinic 6-0 6-0, Daria Gavrilova 6-1 7-6⁷, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-2 6-4 and Shelby Rogers 6-3 6-4.

In the 4^th round, Ashleigh had a good straight sets win against Rogers (6-3 6-4). During the match Barty scored 63 points vs Rogers’s 51. Ashleigh was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Barty fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ashleigh Barty was very effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Ashleigh broke Rogers 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ashleigh hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

Barty has a a good match record in the last 10 years having won 74% of her matches (251-88). 8-0 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Barty has a 138-45 record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in in Melbourne where she beat Garbine Muguruza in the final 7-6(3) 6-4.

Barty has a 8-0 win-loss record in 2021, 8-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

The Australian lost in the semifinal to Sofia Kenin.

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 27, Muchova reached the 3^rd round after defeating Jelena Ostapenko 7-5 6-2, Mona Barthel 6-4 6-1, Karolina Pliskova 7-5 7-5 and Elise Mertens 7-6⁵ 7-5.

In the 4^th round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Mertens (7-6⁵ 7-5). During the match Muchova scored 78 points vs Mertens’s 68. Muchova was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Muchova recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 73% of her first serves in, winning 67% (35/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Karolina broke Mertens 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Muchova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Karolina has a 7-0 win-loss record in 2021, 7-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the Australian Open

The Czech capitulated in the 2^nd round to Catherine Cartan Bellis.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Barty	Muchova
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	69	86
Pts	254-174	318-268
Total Points	428	586
Winners	96	117
%Winners	38%	37%

Both Barty and Muchova played 4 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Barty and Muchova have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Barty played 17 games less than Muchova. Barty scored 96 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Karolina managed to score 117 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Barty	Muchova
Aces	21	14
Avg per match	5.3	3.5
1st in	128/212	190/281
%1st in	60%	68%
1st pts	96/128	117/190
%1st pts	75%	62%
2nd pts	44/84	49/91
%2nd pts	52%	54%

Barty scored 21 aces (5.3 per match). Muchova struck 14 aces (3.5 per match). Barty won 75% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Barty	Muchova
Won	20	22
Converted	20/37	22/39
% Converted	54%	56%
Conceded	16	32
Saved	9	20
% Saved	56%	63%
Times Broken	7	12

Ashleigh broke her opponents 20 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Australian dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 22 times with a 56% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded.

	R1 Kovinic	R2 Gavrilova	R3 Alexandrova	R4 Rogers	Total
Barty
Score	6-0 6-0	6-1 7-6⁷	6-2 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	12	20	18	19	69
pts	50-10	73-60	68-53	63-51	254-174
Total points	60	133	121	114	428
Winners	16	27	22	31	96
%Winners	32%	37%	32%	49%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	4	5	21
Double Faults	0	6	3	3	12
1st in	18/27	40/74	29/51	41/60	128/212
% 1st in	67%	54%	57%	68%	60%
1st pts	16/18	27/40	22/29	31/41	96/128
% 1st pts	89%	68%	76%	76%	75%
2nd pts	8/9	14/34	11/22	11/19	44/84
% 2nd pts	89%	41%	50%	58%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	6	5	3	20
Converted	6/8	6/6	5/17	3/6	20/37
Converted %	75%	100%	29%	50%	54%
Conceded	0	10	3	3	16
Saved	0/0	6/10	1/3	2/3	9
Saved %	–	60%	33%	67%	40%
Times Broken	0	4	2	1	7

	R1 Ostapenko	R2 Barthel	R3 Pliskova	R4 Mertens	Total
Muchova
Score	7-5 6-2	6-4 6-1	7-5 7-5	7-6⁵ 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	20	17	24	25	86
pts	84-73	65-47	91-80	78-68	318-268
Total points	157	112	171	146	586
Winners	35	20	27	35	117
%Winners	42%	31%	30%	45%	37%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	3	4	14
Double Faults	4	2	1	1	8
1st in	54/79	31/51	53/80	52/71	190/281
% 1st in	68%	61%	66%	73%	68%
1st pts	35/54	20/31	27/53	35/52	117/190
% 1st pts	65%	65%	51%	67%	62%
2nd pts	10/25	13/20	18/27	8/19	49/91
% 2nd pts	40%	65%	67%	42%	54%
Breaks
Won	6	5	6	5	22
Converted	6/11	5/11	6/11	5/6	22/39
Converted %	55%	45%	55%	83%	56%
Conceded	11	3	12	6	32
Saved	8/11	2/3	8/12	2/6	20
Saved %	73%	67%	67%	33%	60%
Times Broken	3	1	4	4	12