Felix Auger Aliassime and Daniel Evans will square off in the final of the Murray River Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on MARGARET COURT ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger Aliassime -> 1.66
Daniel Evans -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger Aliassime vs. Daniel Evans
There is no head to head record between Felix Auger Aliassime and Daniel Evans since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Ranked no. 21, Auger-Aliassime reached the final after defeating Yuichi Sugita 6-3 6-1, Egor Gerasimov 3-6 6-3 7-66, Jiri Vesely 7-63 0-0 ret. and Corentin Moutet 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, Felix had a good straight sets win against Moutet (6-1 6-2). During the match Auger-Aliassime scored 55 points vs Moutet’s 27. Felix was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Auger-Aliassime fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Felix Auger Aliassime was extremely efficient on serve to win 93% (25/27) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Auger-Aliassime broke Moutet 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (207-112). 4-0 on hard in 2021. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has a 68-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Felix’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Melbourne.
The Canadian has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
The Canadian lost in the 1st round to Ernests Gulbis.
Daniel Evans
Ranked no. 33, Daniel reached the final after beating Pedro Sousa 6-3 7-5, Marcos Giron 6-4 7-64, Borna Coric 7-5 7-61 and Jeremy Chardy 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal, Evans had a good straight sets win against Chardy (6-2 6-2). During the match Evans scored 53 points vs Chardy’s 25. Evans was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Evans scored 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Daniel Evans was extremely effective on serve to win 100% (21/21) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Chardy 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Daniel’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Melbourne.
Evans has a 4-0 win-loss record in 2021, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Melbourne
Evans lost in the 2nd round to Yoshihito Nishioka.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 85 |
| Pts | 205-156 | 290-233 |
| Total Points | 361 | 523 |
| Winners | 101 | 136 |
| %Winners | 49% | 47% |
Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Evans competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger Aliassime dropped 1 set while Daniel Evans hasn’t lost a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 1 set(s) less than Evans (7 vs 8). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 23 games less than Evans. Auger-Aliassime scored 101 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Evans struck 136 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 11.3 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 125/184 | 167/270 |
| %1st in | 68% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 101/125 | 136/167 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 33/59 | 53/103 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 51% |
Auger-Aliassime bagged 34 aces (11.3 per match). Evans managed to score 29 aces (7.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Evans won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/15 | 12/22 |
| % Converted | 67% | 55% |
| Conceded | 9 | 17 |
| Saved | 7 | 13 |
| % Saved | 78% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Felix broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Evans conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||||
| R2 Sugita |
R3 Gerasimov |
1/4 Vesely |
1/2 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 7-66 | 7-63 0-0 ret. | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 | 13 | 15 | 75 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 92-92 | 48-40 | 55-27 | 253-196 | |
| Total points | 95 | 184 | 88 | 82 | 449 | |
| Winners | 27 | 49 | 22 | 25 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 53% | 46% | 45% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 67/97 | 25/38 | 27/38 | 150/222 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 69% | 66% | 71% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 49/67 | 22/25 | 25/27 | 123/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 73% | 88% | 93% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 17/30 | 9/13 | 7/11 | 42/72 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 69% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/2 | 0/4 | 4/7 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 100% | 0% | 57% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 100% | – | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Evans | ||||||
| R2 Sousa |
R3 Giron |
1/4 Coric |
1/2 Chardy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 7-64 | 7-5 7-61 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 23 | 25 | 16 | 85 | |
| pts | 75-59 | 78-73 | 84-76 | 53-25 | 290-233 | |
| Total points | 134 | 151 | 160 | 78 | 523 | |
| Winners | 36 | 38 | 41 | 21 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 49% | 49% | 40% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 48/78 | 49/79 | 49/76 | 21/37 | 167/270 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 64% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 36/48 | 38/49 | 41/49 | 21/21 | 136/167 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 84% | 100% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 13/30 | 14/27 | 11/16 | 53/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 52% | 69% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 4/7 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 60% | 20% | 57% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5/7 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | 100% | – | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel EvansEvans – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-0) – H2H and prediction
