Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem will play each other in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 15th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 2:00 pm on Centre Court. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.61
Dominic Thiem -> 2.625
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Dominic Thiem
This will be the 15th time that Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem square off. The head to head is 9-5 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Nadal won 7-5 6-3 in the 3rd round in Monte Carlo back in 2016.
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, Nadal got to the 3rd round after defeating Andrey Rublev 6-3 6-4.
In the previous match, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Rublev (6-3 6-4). During the match Nadal scored 63 points vs Rublev’s 49. Rafael was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nadal recorded 2 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Rafael Nadal was extremely effective on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rafael broke Rublev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Nadal has a a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (541-105). 4-1 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nadal has a 40-12 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was managing to win the title in Acapulco where he overcame Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2 and in at the French Open where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 6-0 6-2 7-5.
Nadal has a 26-5 win-loss record in 2020, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
Nadal won the title last year in Nitto-atp-finals after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas .
Dominic Thiem
Ranked no. 3 (career high), the Austrian got to the 3rd round after defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-65 4-6 6-3.
In the previous match, Thiem defeated Tsitsipas (7-65 4-6 6-3). During the match Thiem scored 101 points vs Tsitsipas’s 96. Dominic was exceptionally aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about serving, Thiem managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Dominic Thiem was pretty efficent on serve to win 78% (59/76) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Austrian broke Tsitsipas once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
His best result of the year was managing to win the title in at the U.S. Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 2-6 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-6(6).
Thiem has a 23-7 win-loss record in 2020, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in the Nitto ATP Finals
The Austrian lost in the final to Stefanos Tsitsipas.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 32 |
| Pts | 63-49 | 101-96 |
| Total Points | 112 | 197 |
| Winners | 32 | 59 |
| %Winners | 51% | 58% |
Both Nadal and Thiem played 1 match. At the moment, Dominic Thiem surrendered 1 set while Rafael Nadal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Nadal has played 1 set(s) less than Thiem (2 vs 3). Therefore, Nadal played 13 games less than Thiem. Rafael scored 32 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Thiem scored 59 winners (58%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 9 |
| 1st in | 39/54 | 76/104 |
| %1st in | 72% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 59/76 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 16/28 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 57% |
Nadal made 2 aces . Thiem bagged 9 aces . Nadal won 82% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 1 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 1/4 |
| % Converted | 40% | 25% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | NAN% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Rafael broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Nadal was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Dominic broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | |||
| Round Robin Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 63-49 | 63-49 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/54 | 39/54 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Thiem | |||
| Round Robin Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 101-96 | 101-96 | |
| Total points | 197 | 197 | |
| Winners | 59 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 58% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 76/104 | 76/104 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 59/76 | 59/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/28 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/4 | 1/4 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLLW
LLLLLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-65 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rafael NadalNadal – Andrey RublevRublev (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Dominic ThiemThiem (9-5) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Andrey RublevRublev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-5) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Andrey RublevRublev (2-3) – H2H and prediction
