Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 7th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.4
Alexander Zverev -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 7th time that Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev face off. The head to head is 5-1 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but Zverev leads 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
Rafael Nadal
Ranked no. 2, Rafael reached the semifinal after defeating Feliciano Lopez 4-6 7-65 6-4, Jordan Thompson 6-1 7-63 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 4-6 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter against Carreno-Busta, Nadal recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Nadal scored 97 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 79. Rafael was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nadal struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Rafael Nadal was extremely efficent on serve to win 81% (42/52) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Carreno-Busta 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rafael has dropped 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Nadal has a a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (540-104). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2020. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nadal has a 39-11 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was managing to win the title in Acapulco where he overcame Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2 and in at the French Open where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-0 6-2 7-5.
Rafael has a 25-4 win-loss record in 2020, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Paris
Nadal capitulated in the semifinal to Denis Shapovalov.
Alexander Zverev
Ranked no. 7, Alexander got to the semifinal after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2 6-2, Adrian Mannarino 7-611 6-77 6-4 and Stan Wawrinka 6-3 7-61.
In the quarter, Zverev had a good straight sets win against Wawrinka (6-3 7-61). During the match Zverev scored 71 points vs Wawrinka’s 56. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Zverev blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 74% of his first serves in, winning 80% (37/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (6/16) on the 2nd serve. The German was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Wawrinka 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexander has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was managing to win the title in Cologne where he overcame Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 6-3 6-3 and in Cologne where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-2 6-1.
Alexander has a 26-8 win-loss record in 2020, 11-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Last year in Paris
Alexander lost in the 3rd round to Denis Shapovalov.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nadal | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 82 | 74 |
| Pts | 270-222 | 259-207 |
| Total Points | 492 | 466 |
| Winners | 124 | 123 |
| %Winners | 46% | 47% |
Both Nadal and Zverev played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Rafael Nadal conceded 2 sets, while Alexander Zverev dropper 1 set. Nadal has played 1 set more than Zverev (8 vs 7). Therefore, Nadal played 8 games more than Zverev. Rafael scored 124 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Zverev blasted 123 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nadal | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 145/234 | 151/217 |
| %1st in | 62% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 124/145 | 123/151 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 55/89 | 32/66 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 48% |
Nadal scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). Zverev made 35 aces (11.7 per match). Nadal won 86% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nadal | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 12 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 12/21 |
| % Converted | 33% | 57% |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 80% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Rafael broke his opponents 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Zverev broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nadal | |||||
| R2 Lopez |
R3 Thompson |
1/4 Carreno-Busta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | 6-1 7-63 | 4-6 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 20 | 29 | 82 | |
| pts | 105-96 | 68-47 | 97-79 | 270-222 | |
| Total points | 201 | 115 | 176 | 492 | |
| Winners | 51 | 31 | 42 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 46% | 43% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 16 | 3 | 7 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 57/91 | 36/59 | 52/84 | 145/234 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 61% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 51/57 | 31/36 | 42/52 | 124/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 86% | 81% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 16/23 | 20/32 | 55/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 70% | 63% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 2/4 | 3/7 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 50% | 43% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 80% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Zverev | |||||
| R2 Kecmanovic |
R3 Mannarino |
1/4 Wawrinka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-611 6-77 6-4 | 6-3 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 36 | 22 | 74 | |
| pts | 58-31 | 130-120 | 71-56 | 259-207 | |
| Total points | 89 | 250 | 127 | 466 | |
| Winners | 23 | 63 | 37 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 19 | 8 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 26/42 | 79/113 | 46/62 | 151/217 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 70% | 74% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 63/79 | 37/46 | 123/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 80% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 15/34 | 6/16 | 32/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 44% | 38% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/11 | 4/4 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 36% | 100% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWWLL
LLWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 3-6 7-67) – See score progression
- Rafael NadalNadal – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (4-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Stan WawrinkaWawrinka (6-3 7-6(1)) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Milos RaonicRaonic – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 3-6 7-6(7)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Rafael NadalNadal – Alexander ZverevZverev (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Milos RaonicRaonic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
