H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Sebastian Korda | French Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Nadal and Korda will face off in the 4th round of the French Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Sebastian Korda

Rafael Nadal and Sebastian Korda will clash against each other in the 4th round of the French Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1 pm on Court Philippe CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.007
Sebastian Korda -> 26

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Sebastian Korda

There is no head to head record between Rafael Nadal and Sebastian Korda since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 4th round after beating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-4 6-2, Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-1 6-0 6-3 and Stefano Travaglia 6-1 6-4 6-0.

In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Travaglia (6-1 6-4 6-0). During the match Nadal scored 80 points vs Travaglia’s 41. Rafael was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nadal made 2 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Rafael Nadal was extremely efficent on serve to win 78% (35/45) of his 1st serve and 82% (14/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nadal broke Travaglia 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 63% of the points he played.

Nadal has a a extraordinary record in the last 10 years having won 84% of his matches (533-104). 5-1 on clay in 2020. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nadal has a 238-24 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he defeated Taylor Harry Fritz in the final 6-3 6-2.

Nadal has a 18-4 win-loss record in 2020, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

Rafael conquered the title last year in Roland-garros after besting Dominic Thiem .

Sebastian Korda

Ranked no. 213, Sebastian got to the 4th round after beating Mitchell Krueger 6-1 6-4, Brayden Schnur 6-4 6-4, Aslan Karatsev 7-5 6-2, Andreas Seppi 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-3, John Isner 6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4 and Pedro Martinez Portero 6-4 6-3 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Martinez Portero (6-4 6-3 6-1). During the match Korda scored 103 points vs Martinez Portero’s 73. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Korda fired 8 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Sebastian Korda was extremely efficent on serve to win 78% (45/58) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sebastian broke Martinez Portero 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Korda has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Sebastian has a 15-8 win-loss record in 2020, 6-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the French Open

The American didn’t play at the French Open in 2019.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nadal Korda
Match played 3 6
Tot Set 9 17
Tot Games 73 157
Pts 253-148 544-430
Total Points 401 974
Winners 109 236
%Winners 43% 43%

Nadal played 3 matches while Korda competed in 6 matches. Korda started his run from the qualifications while Nadal had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Sebastian Korda lost 2 sets while Rafael Nadal hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nadal has played 8 set(s) less than Korda (9 vs 17). Therefore, Nadal played 84 games less than Korda. The Spaniard scored 109 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Korda made 236 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nadal Korda
Aces 6 27
Avg per match 2 4.5
1st in 139/205 332/480
%1st in 68% 69%
1st pts 109/139 236/332
%1st pts 78% 71%
2nd pts 45/66 90/148
%2nd pts 68% 61%

Nadal recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Korda managed to score 27 aces (4.5 per match). Nadal won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nadal Korda
Won 18 29
Converted 18/20 29/69
% Converted 90% 42%
Conceded 2 35
Saved 1 24
% Saved 50% 69%
Times Broken 1 11

The Spaniard broke his opponents 18 times with a 90% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Korda broke his opponents 29 times with a 42% conversion rate. Korda conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Nadal
R1
Gerasimov
R2
Mcdonald
R3
Travaglia
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-0 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 28 22 23 73
pts 88-60 85-47 80-41 253-148
Total points 148 132 121 401
Winners 37 37 35 109
%Winners 42% 44% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 2 6
Double Faults 2 4 0 6
1st in 45/71 49/72 45/62 139/205
% 1st in 63% 68% 73% 68%
1st pts 37/45 37/49 35/45 109/139
% 1st pts 82% 76% 78% 78%
2nd pts 17/26 14/23 14/17 45/66
% 2nd pts 65% 61% 82% 68%
Breaks
Won 5 7 6 18
Converted 5/5 7/8 6/7 18/20
Converted % 100% 88% 86% 90%
Conceded 2 0 0 2
Saved 1/2 0/0 0/0 1
Saved % 50% 17%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1
Korda
Q1
Krueger
Q2
Schnur
Q3
Karatsev
R1
Seppi
R2
Isner
R3
Martinez Portero
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-2 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 2 4 4 3 17
Tot Games 17 20 20 36 38 26 157
pts 66-39 63-54 78-56 120-104 114-104 103-73 544-430
Total points 105 117 134 224 218 176 974
Winners 25 29 32 55 50 45 236
%Winners 38% 46% 41% 46% 44% 44% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 1 3 2 7 8 27
Double Faults 0 0 0 1 6 0 7
1st in 28/45 42/59 47/70 88/121 69/104 58/81 332/480
% 1st in 62% 71% 67% 73% 66% 72% 69%
1st pts 25/28 29/42 32/47 55/88 50/69 45/58 236/332
% 1st pts 89% 69% 68% 63% 72% 78% 71%
2nd pts 12/17 13/17 14/23 19/33 20/35 12/23 90/148
% 2nd pts 71% 76% 61% 58% 57% 52% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5 8 5 6 29
Converted 3/10 2/4 5/10 8/17 5/12 6/16 29/69
Converted % 30% 50% 50% 47% 42% 38% 42%
Conceded 0 1 9 9 10 6 35
Saved 0/0 1/1 7/9 5/9 6/10 5/6 24
Saved % 100% 78% 56% 60% 83% 126%
Times Broken 0 0 2 4 4 1 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
LLWLWWWWLL
Korda
LWLLWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
12 - 7
30 - 19
2-1
Hard
17-9
0-0
I Hard
1-2
10-6
Clay
5-5
0-0
Grass
7-3

Tennis Scores at the French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw