H2H, PREDICTION Naomi Osaka vs Marta Kostyuk | U.S. Open odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Osaka and Kostyuk will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Marta Kostyuk

Naomi Osaka and Marta Kostyuk will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.172
Marta Kostyuk -> 4.75

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Marta Kostyuk

There is no head to head record between Naomi Osaka and Marta Kostyuk since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 9, Osaka got to the 3rd round after beating Misaki Doi 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Camila Giorgi 6-1 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-1 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 62 points vs Giorgi’s 40. Osaka was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Osaka struck 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (26/33) of her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Naomi broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Naomi has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Osaka has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (202-113). 11-2 on hard in 2020. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Osaka has a 136-69 record in the last 7 years on hard.

Naomi’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in New York.

Osaka has a 11-3 win-loss record in 2020, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

The Japanese lost in the Pre-q to .

Marta Kostyuk

Ranked no. 137, Kostyuk reached the 3rd round after defeating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-2 and Anastasija Sevastova 6-3 7-65.

In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian had a good straight sets win against Sevastova (6-3 7-65). During the match Kostyuk scored 80 points vs Sevastova’s 61. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Kostyuk bagged 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Marta Kostyuk was very effective on serve to win 84% (31/37) of her 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Ukrainian broke Sevastova once after converting 11% of her break points (1/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

The Ukrainian has a 15-6 win-loss record in 2020, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year at the U.S. Open

Kostyuk didn’t play at the U.S. Open in 2019.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Osaka Kostyuk
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 43 37
Pts 158-120 140-94
Total Points 278 234
Winners 61 56
%Winners 39% 40%

Both Osaka and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Naomi Osaka conceded 1 set while Marta Kostyuk hasn’t dropped a set so far. Osaka has played 1 set more than Kostyuk (5 vs 4). Therefore, Osaka played 6 games more than Kostyuk. Naomi scored 61 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk blasted 56 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Osaka Kostyuk
Aces 10 9
Avg per match 5 4.5
1st in 79/143 71/112
%1st in 55% 63%
1st pts 61/79 56/71
%1st pts 77% 79%
2nd pts 34/64 24/41
%2nd pts 53% 59%

Osaka recorded 10 aces (5 per match). Kostyuk blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Osaka won 77% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 79% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Osaka Kostyuk
Won 9 7
Converted 9/18 7/17
% Converted 50% 41%
Conceded 10 6
Saved 8 4
% Saved 80% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

Osaka broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Osaka lost her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Osaka
R1
Doi
R2
Giorgi
Total
Score 6-2 5-7 6-2 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 28 15 43
pts 96-80 62-40 158-120
Total points 176 102 278
Winners 35 26 61
%Winners 36% 42% 39%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 10
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 46/91 33/52 79/143
% 1st in 51% 63% 55%
1st pts 35/46 26/33 61/79
% 1st pts 76% 79% 77%
2nd pts 24/45 10/19 34/64
% 2nd pts 53% 53% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/11 4/7 9/18
Converted % 45% 57% 50%
Conceded 8 2 10
Saved 6/8 2/2 8
Saved % 75% 100% 88%
Times Broken 2 0 2
Kostyuk
R1
Kasatkina
R2
Sevastova
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 22 37
pts 60-33 80-61 140-94
Total points 93 141 234
Winners 25 31 56
%Winners 42% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 7 9
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 34/51 37/61 71/112
% 1st in 67% 61% 63%
1st pts 25/34 31/37 56/71
% 1st pts 74% 84% 79%
2nd pts 7/17 17/24 24/41
% 2nd pts 41% 71% 59%
Breaks
Won 6 1 7
Converted 6/8 1/9 7/17
Converted % 75% 11% 41%
Conceded 4 2 6
Saved 2/4 2/2 4
Saved % 50% 100% 75%
Times Broken 2 0 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Osaka
LWWWLWLWLW
Kostyuk
LWLLWWLWWL
2024 2023 2022
22 - 18
34 - 20
13-10
Hard
24-12
1-0
I Hard
0-0
5-5
Clay
8-5
3-3
Grass
2-3

Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw