Kristina Mladenovic and Varvara Gracheva will face off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11 am on Court 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and the prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kristina Mladenovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kristina Mladenovic is the pick to win this match.
Kristina Mladenovic -> 1.42
Varvara Gracheva -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Kristina Mladenovic vs. Varvara Gracheva
There is no head to head record between Kristina Mladenovic and Varvara Gracheva since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranked no. 44, Mladenovic got to the 2nd round after beating Hailey Baptiste 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, the French player had a good straight sets win against Baptiste (7-5 6-2). During the match Mladenovic scored 72 points vs Baptiste’s 48. Mladenovic was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mladenovic fired 5 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Kristina Mladenovic lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Mladenovic put 56% of her first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (8/28) on the 2nd serve. Mladenovic broke Baptiste 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Mladenovic has a unfavourable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won only 46% of her matches (653-762). 7-5 on hard in 2020. . Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Mladenovic has a 301-264 record in the last 10 years on hard.
Mladenovic has a 8-8 win-loss record in 2020, 7-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
Kristina surrendered in the 2nd round 6-4 6-73 6-3 to Fiona Ferro.
Varvara Gracheva
Ranked no. 102, the Russian got to the 2nd round after beating Paula Badosa Gibert 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Badosa (6-4 7-5). During the match Gracheva scored 75 points vs Badosa’s 63. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Gracheva recorded 2 aces and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Varvara Gracheva was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (30/41) of her 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Varvara broke Badosa 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Gracheva has won exactly 50% of her matches (75-74) in the last 5 years. 4-6 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gracheva has a 142-70 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Varvara has a 5-9 win-loss record in 2020, 4-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year at the U.S. Open
The Russian surrendered in the qualifications 6-4 7-66 to Richel Hogenkamp.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mladenovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 |
| Pts | 72-48 | 75-63 |
| Total Points | 120 | 138 |
| Winners | 29 | 30 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Mladenovic and Gracheva played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mladenovic and Gracheva have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mladenovic played 2 games less than Gracheva. the French player scored 29 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Varvara struck 30 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mladenovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 36/64 | 41/62 |
| %1st in | 56% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 30/41 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 8/28 | 13/21 |
| %2nd pts | 29% | 62% |
Mladenovic blasted 5 aces . Gracheva managed to score 2 aces . Mladenovic won 81% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 29% of the points. On the other side, Gracheva won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mladenovic | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/10 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 70% | 33% |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 |
| Saved | 4 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Mladenovic broke her opponent 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Kristina surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Gracheva broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mladenovic | |||
| R1 Baptiste |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 72-48 | 72-48 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/64 | 36/64 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 29/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/28 | 8/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 29% | 29% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 75-63 | 75-63 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 41/62 | 41/62 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLLL
LLLWLLWWWL Tennis Scores at the U.S. Open
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