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H2H, PREDICTION Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Azarenka | New York odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. New York. Osaka and Azarenka will face off in the final of the Western & Southern Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Mark Hall

29 August 2020

Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Victoria Azarenka

Naomi Osaka and Victoria Azarenka will play each other in the final of the Western & Southern Open for the 4^th time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11 am on Louis Armstron. Here you can find the head to head analysis and the prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.47
Victoria Azarenka -> 2.6

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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Victoria Azarenka

This will be the 4^th time that Naomi Osaka and Victoria Azarenka clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Osaka (see full H2H stats), but Azarenka leads 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Osaka won 6-0 6-3 in the 1^st round in Rome back in 2018.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 10, the Japanese reached the 1^st round after defeating Karolina Muchova 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 6-3 6-1, Anett Kontaveit 4-6 6-2 7-5 and Elise Mertens 6-2 7-6⁵.

In the semifinal, Naomi had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-2 7-6⁵). During the match Osaka scored 89 points vs Mertens’s 82. Naomi was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Osaka fired 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 18 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 50% of her first serves in, winning 71% (37/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (22/53) on the 2nd serve. Osaka broke Mertens 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Osaka has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.

Osaka has a losing win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 30% of her matches (564-240). 9-2 on hard in 2020. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Osaka has a 200-113 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

The Japanese’s best result of the current year was getting to the semi-finals in Brisbane and New York.

The Japanese has a 9-3 win-loss record in 2020, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in New York

Osaka lost in the 4^th round 7-5 6-4 to Belinda Bencic.

Victoria Azarenka

Ranked no. 59, Azarenka reached the 1^st round after defeating Donna Vekic 6-2 6-3, Caroline Garcia 6-2 7-6⁸, Alize Cornet 6-4 7-5, Ons Jabeur 7-6⁹ 6-2 and Johanna Konta 4-6 6-4 6-1.

In the semifinal against Konta, Victoria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-1). During the match Azarenka scored 97 points vs Konta’s 83. Victoria was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Azarenka scored 7 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 75% (42/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Konta 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Azarenka has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 73% of her matches (738-273). 5-2 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Azarenka has a 296-95 record in the last 10 years on hard.

The Belarussian’s best result of the season was getting to the semi-finals in New York.

Victoria has a 5-2 win-loss record in 2020, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Last year in New York

Azarenka lost in the 1^st round 3-6 6-3 6-4 to Aryna Sabalenka.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Osaka	Azarenka
Match played	4	5
Tot Set	10	11
Tot Games	98	108
Pts	338-298	408-341
Total Points	636	749
Winners	133	166
%Winners	39%	41%

Osaka played 4 matches while Azarenka competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka conceded 2 sets, while Victoria Azarenka dropper 1 set. Osaka has played 1 set(s) less than Azarenka (10 vs 11). Therefore, Osaka played 10 games less than Azarenka. Osaka scored 133 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Azarenka fired 166 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Osaka	Azarenka
Aces	33	23
Avg per match	8.3	4.6
1st in	170/334	250/401
%1st in	51%	62%
1st pts	133/170	166/250
%1st pts	78%	66%
2nd pts	79/164	74/151
%2nd pts	48%	49%

Osaka scored 33 aces (8.3 per match). Azarenka fired 23 aces (4.6 per match). Osaka won 78% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 66% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Osaka	Azarenka
Won	18	24
Converted	18/36	24/39
% Converted	50%	62%
Conceded	33	41
Saved	26	28
% Saved	79%	68%
Times Broken	7	13

The Japanese broke her opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. Osaka conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded. Victoria broke her opponents 24 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

	R2 Muchova	R3 Yastremska	1/4 Kontaveit	1/2 Mertens	Total
Osaka
Score	6-7⁵ 6-4 6-2	6-3 6-1	4-6 6-2 7-5	6-2 7-6⁵
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	31	16	30	21	98
pts	98-90	61-45	90-81	89-82	338-298
Total points	188	106	171	171	636
Winners	34	25	37	37	133
%Winners	35%	41%	41%	42%	39%
SERVE
Aces	12	8	9	4	33
Double Faults	5	4	5	5	19
1st in	42/89	30/56	46/84	52/105	170/334
% 1st in	47%	54%	55%	50%	51%
1st pts	34/42	25/30	37/46	37/52	133/170
% 1st pts	81%	83%	80%	71%	78%
2nd pts	26/47	13/26	18/38	22/53	79/164
% 2nd pts	55%	50%	47%	42%	48%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	5	18
Converted	4/9	4/8	5/10	5/9	18/36
Converted %	44%	50%	50%	56%	50%
Conceded	3	5	4	21	33
Saved	2/3	5/5	1/4	18/21	26
Saved %	67%	100%	25%	86%	70%
Times Broken	1	0	3	3	7

	R1 Vekic	R2 Garcia	R3 Cornet	1/4 Jabeur	1/2 Konta	Total
Azarenka
Score	6-2 6-3	6-2 7-6⁸	6-4 7-5	7-6⁹ 6-2	4-6 6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	3	11
Tot Games	17	21	22	21	27	108
pts	62-39	79-67	86-80	84-72	97-83	408-341
Total points	101	146	166	156	180	749
Winners	26	30	38	30	42	166
%Winners	42%	38%	44%	36%	43%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	5	1	3	7	23
Double Faults	3	3	1	4	5	16
1st in	39/62	43/72	63/89	49/87	56/91	250/401
% 1st in	63%	60%	71%	56%	62%	62%
1st pts	26/39	30/43	38/63	30/49	42/56	166/250
% 1st pts	67%	70%	60%	61%	75%	66%
2nd pts	12/23	15/29	11/26	21/38	15/35	74/151
% 2nd pts	52%	52%	42%	55%	43%	49%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	5	5	24
Converted	5/6	4/7	5/8	5/8	5/10	24/39
Converted %	83%	57%	63%	63%	50%	62%
Conceded	4	8	11	7	11	41
Saved	2/4	6/8	8/11	4/7	8/11	28
Saved %	50%	75%	73%	57%	73%	82%
Times Broken	2	2	3	3	3	13