Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens will face off in the semifinal of the Western & Southern Open for the 3rd time of their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11 am on Grandstand. Here the head to head stats and the relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.615
Elise Mertens -> 2.25
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Prediction and head to head Naomi Osaka vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 3rd time that Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Osaka and Mertens (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Mertens won 6-4 1-6 6-4 in the 1st round in Wuhan back in 2017.
Naomi Osaka
Ranked no. 10, Osaka reached the 1st round after beating Karolina Muchova 6-75 6-4 6-2, Dayana Yastremska 6-3 6-1 and Anett Kontaveit 4-6 6-2 7-5.
In the quarter against Kontaveit, Osaka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Osaka scored 90 points vs Kontaveit’s 81. Osaka was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Osaka scored 9 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 55% of her first serves in, winning 80% (37/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Kontaveit 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Osaka has dropped 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Osaka has a unfavourable record in the last 7 years having won 30% of her matches (557-240). 8-2 on hard in 2020. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Osaka has a 199-113 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Osaka’s best result of the current season was getting to the semi-finals in Brisbane.
The Japanese has a 8-3 win-loss record in 2020, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in New York
Osaka lost in the 4th round 7-5 6-4 to Belinda Bencic.
Elise Mertens
Ranked no. 22, the Belgian reached the 1st round after defeating Rebecca Peterson 6-0 6-2, Kristina Mladenovic 6-1 6-75 6-3, Veronika Kudermetova 6-2 6-3 and Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-3.
In the quarter, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Pegula (6-1 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 55 points vs Pegula’s 36. The Belgian was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Mertens scored 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (21/27) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Mertens was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Pegula 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 67% of her matches (932-459). 13-5 on hard in 2020. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has a 324-171 record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Belgian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Prague.
Elise has a 19-7 win-loss record in 2020, 13-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Last year in New York
Mertens lost in the quarter 3-6 6-2 6-3 to Bianca Vanessa Andreescu.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Osaka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 77 | 76 |
| Pts | 249-216 | 269-185 |
| Total Points | 465 | 454 |
| Winners | 96 | 105 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Osaka played 3 matches while Mertens competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Naomi Osaka conceded 2 sets, while Elise Mertens dropper 1 set. Osaka has played 1 set(s) less than Mertens (8 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Osaka played 1 game more than Mertens. Naomi scored 96 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Elise managed to score 105 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Osaka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 9.7 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 118/229 | 133/214 |
| %1st in | 52% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 96/118 | 105/133 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 57/111 | 45/81 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Osaka managed to score 29 aces (9.7 per match). Mertens made 18 aces (4.5 per match). Osaka won 81% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 79% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Osaka | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 20 |
| Converted | 13/27 | 20/29 |
| % Converted | 48% | 69% |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The Japanese broke her opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Osaka dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Elise broke her opponents 20 times with a 69% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve twice and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Osaka | |||||
| R2 Muchova |
R3 Yastremska |
1/4 Kontaveit |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | 4-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 16 | 30 | 77 | |
| pts | 98-90 | 61-45 | 90-81 | 249-216 | |
| Total points | 188 | 106 | 171 | 465 | |
| Winners | 34 | 25 | 37 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% | 41% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 8 | 9 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 42/89 | 30/56 | 46/84 | 118/229 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 54% | 55% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 25/30 | 37/46 | 96/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 83% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/47 | 13/26 | 18/38 | 57/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 50% | 47% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/5 | 1/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 25% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Mertens | ||||||
| R1 Peterson |
R2 Mladenovic |
R3 Kudermetova |
1/4 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-75 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 29 | 17 | 16 | 76 | |
| pts | 53-23 | 95-74 | 66-52 | 55-36 | 269-185 | |
| Total points | 76 | 169 | 118 | 91 | 454 | |
| Winners | 22 | 35 | 27 | 21 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% | 41% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 24/36 | 42/74 | 40/58 | 27/46 | 133/214 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 57% | 69% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 22/24 | 35/42 | 27/40 | 21/27 | 105/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 83% | 68% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 16/32 | 11/18 | 11/19 | 45/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 50% | 61% | 58% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/11 | 4/7 | 5/5 | 20/29 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 55% | 57% | 100% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/2 | 5/5 | 2/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 106% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLWLW
LWLLWLWLWW Tennis Scores in New York
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Johanna KontaKonta – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-69 6-2) – See score progression
- Karim-Mohamed MaamounMaamoun – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elise MertensMertens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (1-1) – See H2H details
- Johanna KontaKonta – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (2-1) – See H2H details
